{"id":137942,"date":"2026-06-23T15:03:48","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T19:03:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/adf-magazine.com\/?p=137942"},"modified":"2026-06-23T15:17:21","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T19:17:21","slug":"les-accords-a-court-terme-et-les-echecs-du-passe-freinent-les-efforts-dexpansion-de-la-russie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/adf-magazine.com\/fr\/2026\/06\/les-accords-a-court-terme-et-les-echecs-du-passe-freinent-les-efforts-dexpansion-de-la-russie\/","title":{"rendered":"Les accords \u00e0 court terme et les \u00e9checs du pass\u00e9 freinent les efforts d\u2019expansion de la Russie"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Plusieurs pays africains ont conclu des accords de coop\u00e9ration militaire avec la Russie, dans l\u2019espoir que Moscou les aidera \u00e0 confronter leurs insurrections djihadistes. Jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, selon les analystes, la strat\u00e9gie ne semble pas \u00eatre gagnante.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">En 2025, le Togo a \u00e9t\u00e9 ajout\u00e9 \u00e0 la liste des pays africains cherchant \u00e0 partager l\u2019entra\u00eenement et le renseignement militaire avec la Russie, alors qu\u2019il affronte la violence qui se propage depuis le Sahel vers sa province du Nord.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Les mercenaires russes, au d\u00e9but le groupe Wagner et aujourd\u2019hui l\u2019Africa Corps, sont post\u00e9s au Burkina Faso, au Mali et au Niger depuis plusieurs ann\u00e9es. Les combattants avaient \u00e9t\u00e9 invit\u00e9s dans la r\u00e9gion pour aider les juntes au pouvoir \u00e0 vaincre les groupes terroristes tels que le Groupe de soutien \u00e0 l\u2019islam et aux musulmans (GSIM) et l\u2019\u00c9tat islamique (Daech).<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, la brutalit\u00e9 et la violence sans discrimination des forces russes ont surtout r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 embraser les tensions avec la population civile et la rapprocher des insurg\u00e9s djihadistes. Dans ces trois pays, les mercenaires russes semblent maintenant orienter leur \u00e9nergie vers la protection des juntes, plut\u00f4t que l\u2019\u00e9limination de la menace terroriste.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00ab\u00a0Bamako, Niamey et Ouagadougou se sont appuy\u00e9s sur la Russie pour l\u2019assistance sur le champ de bataille, mais la Russie a montr\u00e9 peu de capacit\u00e9 ou d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e0 aider ces r\u00e9gimes \u00e0 conclure des compromis politiques avec les groupes arm\u00e9s ou combler les lacunes de gouvernance qui alimentent l\u2019insurrection\u00a0\u00bb, a \u00e9crit r\u00e9cemment le chercheur Jean-Herv\u00e9 J\u00e9z\u00e9quel pour la Fondation Carnegie pour la paix internationale.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Son analyse fait partie d\u2019un rapport plus vaste intitul\u00e9 \u00ab\u00a0La Russie en Afrique\u00a0: examen de l\u2019influence de Moscou et de ses limites\u00a0\u00bb, qui a r\u00e9uni de multiples perspectives sur l\u2019impact de la pr\u00e9sence de la Russie sur le continent.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">La Russie a b\u00e2ti ses relations africaines \u00e0 l\u2019aide de campagnes de d\u00e9sinformation pour pr\u00e9senter Moscou comme la r\u00e9ponse aux probl\u00e8mes persistants de la r\u00e9gion li\u00e9s aux insurrections et au terrorisme. Jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, la Russie semble \u00eatre le b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaire principal de ces accords, selon l\u2019analyste de risque Priyal Singh \u00e0 l\u2019Institut pour les \u00e9tudes de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 (ISS).<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ce dernier a r\u00e9cemment \u00e9crit pour l\u2019ISS\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0Alors que la Russie obtient des avantages symboliques et g\u00e9opolitiques vastes, notamment un profil international plus audacieux, ces engagements sont surtout opportunistes et transactionnels. Son assistance s\u00e9curitaire \u00e9largie semble \u00eatre pouss\u00e9e par les pr\u00e9occupations de certains dirigeants africains sur la survie de leur r\u00e9gime d\u2019une part, et l\u2019acc\u00e8s russe aux ressources naturelles critiques d\u2019autre part.\u00a0\u00bb<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">L\u2019empreinte de la Russie en R\u00e9publique centrafricaine offre un exemple de l\u2019\u00e9volution possible de ses relations en Afrique de l\u2019Ouest. Les combattants de Wagner sont arriv\u00e9s \u00e0 Bangui en 2018 dans le cadre d\u2019un accord qui offrait des concessions de mines d\u2019or et de diamants en \u00e9change de leurs services.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wagner est bient\u00f4t devenu une composante cl\u00e9 du gouvernement, en assurant la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 du pr\u00e9sident Faustin-Archange Touad\u00e9ra, en servant de conseiller national \u00e0 la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 pour ce dernier, et m\u00eame en supervisant la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 des douanes et des fronti\u00e8res. En m\u00eame temps, les combattants de Wagner se sont joints aux campagnes de l\u2019arm\u00e9e nationale contre les groupes rebelles, ce qui a conduit aux ex\u00e9cutions sommaires, \u00e0 la violence contre les civils et \u00e0 d\u2019autres violations des droits de l\u2019homme.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00ab\u00a0Moscou continue \u00e0 essayer d\u2019accro\u00eetre son influence sur le continent en fonction de ce sc\u00e9nario\u00a0\u00bb, a \u00e9crit M.\u00a0Singh pour la Fondation Carnegie.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">La Russie a conclu un accord en 2024 avec la Guin\u00e9e \u00e9quatoriale et d\u00e9ploy\u00e9 les forces de l\u2019Africa Corps pour soutenir le gouvernement du pr\u00e9sident Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo. Elle a offert des accords similaires avec la junte au pouvoir en Guin\u00e9e et avec le gouvernement de la R\u00e9publique du Congo.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Au Sahel, les juntes ont d\u00e9cid\u00e9 d\u2019expulser les forces fran\u00e7aises et am\u00e9ricaines et les gardiens de la paix des Nations unies. Ce faisant, les juntes d\u00e9pendent d\u00e9sormais exclusivement de la Russie pour l\u2019assistance militaire et, potentiellement, l\u2019aide \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00ab\u00a0Ils sont en d\u00e9saccord avec tout le monde. Ils sont coinc\u00e9s\u00a0\u00bb, d\u00e9clare \u00e0 ADF l\u2019analyste Wassim Nasr du Soufan Center.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mais la Russie semble avoir de plus en plus de difficult\u00e9s pour satisfaire \u00e0 ses engagements en vertu des accords avec les pays africains. Les efforts militaires russes au Sahel ont peu aider \u00e0 stopper l\u2019expansion du GSIM ou de Daech. Avec ses ressources financi\u00e8res engag\u00e9es dans l\u2019invasion de l\u2019Ukraine, la Russie ne peut pas beaucoup contribuer aux projets de reconstruction ou de d\u00e9veloppement, selon Jean-Herv\u00e9 J\u00e9z\u00e9quel.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Il ajoute que la propagande peut affiner l\u2019image de la Russie en Afrique, mais elle ne peut pas se substituer aux progr\u00e8s tangibles.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00ab\u00a0La Russie peut d\u00e9j\u00e0 avoir atteint le point culminant de son attrait.\u00a0\u00bb<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plusieurs pays africains ont conclu des accords de coop\u00e9ration militaire avec la Russie, dans l\u2019espoir que Moscou les aidera \u00e0 confronter leurs insurrections djihadistes. Jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, selon les analystes, la strat\u00e9gie ne semble pas \u00eatre gagnante. En 2025, le Togo a \u00e9t\u00e9 ajout\u00e9 \u00e0 la liste des pays africains cherchant \u00e0 partager l\u2019entra\u00eenement et le<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":137937,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[331],"tags":[489,434,488,618,487,1282,816],"class_list":{"0":"post-137942","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-dernieres-nouvelles","8":"tag-burkina-faso-fr","9":"tag-mali-fr","10":"tag-niger-fr","11":"tag-russie","12":"tag-sahel-fr","13":"tag-terrorism-fr","14":"tag-togo-fr"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Les accords \u00e0 court terme et les \u00e9checs du pass\u00e9 freinent les efforts d\u2019expansion de la Russie - Africa Defense Forum<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/adf-magazine.com\/ar\/?p=137944\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Les accords \u00e0 court terme et les \u00e9checs du pass\u00e9 freinent les efforts d\u2019expansion de la Russie - Africa Defense Forum\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Plusieurs pays africains ont conclu des accords de coop\u00e9ration militaire avec la Russie, dans l\u2019espoir que Moscou les aidera \u00e0 confronter leurs insurrections djihadistes. Jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, selon les analystes, la strat\u00e9gie ne semble pas \u00eatre gagnante. 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